Friday, February 12, 2010

Weekly Outlook Indian Stock Market (15 - 19 Feb)

WEEKLY TECHNICALS
High: 4843.80
Low: 4675.40
Close: 4726.85
Change: +69.60
RSI (14 Days): 49.99
Pivot: 4782
Support: 4720, 4614
Resistance: 4889, 4950

TECHNICAL CUES
Medium Term
Nifty is in down trend (from 5th Feb.) with targets of 4740**, 4600, 4460.
The down trend will ‘terminate’ above 4951.
Short Term
Nifty is in uptrend (from 11th Feb.) with targets of 4880, 4900, 4960.
The uptrend will ‘terminate’ below 4748.

DERIVATIVE CUES
  • Nifty February future discount converted in to premium of 2 points so cost of carry increased. (Bullish)
  • Nifty open interest decreased by 13 lacs suggests short covering. (Total OI now at 3.18 cr)
  • Nifty calls shed 17 lacs and puts added 19 lacs in open interest. (Bullish)
  • Nifty open interest put-call ratio is at 1.05.
  • 4800 puts had open interest of 61 lacs ( +8%) and 5000 calls had open interest of 60 lacs (-7%), so 4800 and 5000 will be important levels to watch for.
  • India VIX closed at 28.81, decreased by 5.7% suggests stability. (Bullish)
  • In Nifty stocks, advance-decline ratio is 44/6. (Bullish)
Thanks and Regards

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Disclaimer
The calls given here are My Personal views, trading or investing in stocks is a high risk activity. Any action you choose to take in the markets is totally your own responsibility. S&P Wealth Creators will not be liable for any, direct or indirect, consequential or incidental damages or loss arising out of the use of this information.
Investors should be cautious about any and all stock recommendations and should consider the source of any advice on stock selection. Various factors, including personal or corporate ownership, may influence or factor into an expert’s stock analysis or opinion.

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